Single poll
Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 1 October 2022 for the Lower Saxony state election
- State
- Lower Saxony
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Sep 2022 to 1 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 967
- Method
- Online
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 35.0%, followed by CDU on 27.0%. 967 people were surveyed from 29 Sep 2022 to 1 Oct 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 24 Sep 2022, AfD gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 3.6 points higher and AfD 2.4 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +3.6average 31.4
- AfD +2.4average 8.6
- Grüne -2.3average 17.8
- CDU -1.2average 28.2
- FDP -1.1average 5.6
- Linke -1.1average 3.6
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD53
- CDU41
- Grüne24
- AfD17
- SPD + CDU94 of 135
- SPD + Grüne77 of 135
- SPD + AfD70 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + AfD82 of 135
More
More polls
← Institut Wahlkreisprognose, 24 Sep 2022Institut Wahlkreisprognose, 7 Oct 2022 →Average of all pollsters: Lower SaxonySunday question Lower Saxony2025 federal election in Lower SaxonyChronicle 2022
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.