Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 7 October 2022 for the Lower Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 7 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 900
- Method
- Online
- SPD35.0%±0
- CDU27.0%±0
- Grüne15.5%±0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%+0.5
- Linke3.0%+0.5
- Others4.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 1 Oct 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 35.0%, followed by CDU on 27.0%. 900 people were surveyed from 6 to 7 Oct 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 1 Oct 2022, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 3.4 points higher and Grüne 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +3.4average 31.6
- Grüne -1.7average 17.2
- CDU -1.4average 28.4
- AfD +0.8average 9.2
- Linke -0.5average 3.5
- FDP -0.2average 5.2
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD51
- CDU39
- Grüne23
- AfD15
- FDP7
- SPD + CDU90 of 135
- SPD + Grüne74 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + AfD77 of 135
- SPD + AfD + FDP73 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + FDP69 of 135
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.