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Pollster and election

Institut Wahlkreisprognose on the Baden-Württemberg state election

12 polls since 4 March 2021, the latest from 12 May 2025 for Institut Wahlkreisprognose. Against the current average of all pollsters, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD +5.2 and Grüne -4.8.

  • CDU26.0%-4.0
  • Grüne23.0%+3.0
  • AfD23.0%+1.0
  • SPD12.5%+2.5
  • Linke5.5%+4.0
  • FDP4.5%-2.5
  • BSW1.5%
  • Others4.0%-2.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 27 Oct 2023.

This poll in detail

Trend

All Institut Wahlkreisprognose figures for the Baden-Württemberg state election

0102030402022202320242025CDUGrüneAfDSPDLinkeFDPBSW
Dots are individual polls, lines the rolling average over 120 days. Period 30 Dec 2021 to 12 May 2025. Tap the tiles to hide parties.
Accuracy

Institut Wahlkreisprognose before the last elections

Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.

  • Election 14 Mar 2021 (poll 4 Mar 2021)1.1 ptsbiggest miss AfD +3.3
Archive

All 12 polls

Institut Wahlkreisprognose polls for the Baden-Württemberg state election
PollsterPublishedCDUGrüneAfDSPDLinkeFDPBSWOthers
Institut Wahlkreisprognose12 May 202526232312.55.54.51.54
Institut Wahlkreisprognose27 Oct 2023302022101.57–6.5
Institut Wahlkreisprognose24 Jul 20232425.5211127–6.5
Institut Wahlkreisprognose13 Mar 20233228131026.5–5.5
Institut Wahlkreisprognose22 Dec 20222328151529–5.5
Institut Wahlkreisprognose23 Oct 20222227.5161538–4.5
Institut Wahlkreisprognose16 Aug 20222430.512132.510–8
Institut Wahlkreisprognose10 Jun 202220.530.51114413–7
Institut Wahlkreisprognose7 May 202220.527.51018314–7
Institut Wahlkreisprognose17 Mar 20222527916214–7
Institut Wahlkreisprognose30 Dec 202119268.520319–4.5
Institut Wahlkreisprognose4 Mar 202123331312.53.510.5–4.5

Other elections covered by this pollster

Election tickerNext electionSaarland207 daysLatest pollForsa, North Rhine-Westphalia23 Sep 2026CDU 29AfD 22Grüne 18Biggest moveSPD, Rhineland-Palatinate▼ −8,3Leading nationallyAfDfor 159 daysRun-offsLower Saxony local elections4 daysLatest resultBerlin state election 2026Linke 25.7%, preliminary

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