Pollster and election
Institut Wahlkreisprognose on the Rhineland-Palatinate state election
9 polls since 7 March 2021, the latest from 20 June 2025 for Institut Wahlkreisprognose. Against the current average of all pollsters, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD -6.0 and SPD +5.5.
- CDU28.0%+1.0
- SPD24.5%-1.5
- AfD18.0%-2.0
- Grüne10.5%+2.0
- Linke5.5%+4.0
- Freie Wähler4.0%-3.5
- BSW3.0%
- FDP2.0%-1.5
- Others4.5%-1.5
28.0%
+1.0
CDU
24.5%
-1.5
SPD
18.0%
-2.0
AfD
10.5%
+2.0
Grüne
5.5%
+4.0
Linke
4.0%
-3.5
Freie Wähler
3.0%
BSW
2.0%
-1.5
FDP
4.5%
-1.5
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 13 Dec 2023.
Trend
All Institut Wahlkreisprognose figures for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election
Accuracy
Institut Wahlkreisprognose before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 14 Mar 2021 (poll 7 Mar 2021)1.2 ptsbiggest miss SPD -2.7
Archive
All 9 polls
| Pollster | Published | CDU | SPD | AfD | Grüne | Linke | Freie Wähler | BSW | FDP | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 20 Jun 2025 | 28 | 24.5 | 18 | 10.5 | 5.5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4.5 |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 13 Dec 2023 | 27 | 26 | 20 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 7.5 | – | 3.5 | 6 |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 22 Mar 2023 | 25 | 29 | 16 | 11 | 2 | 6.5 | – | 5 | 5.5 |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 17 Oct 2022 | 25.5 | 26 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 6.5 | – | 7 | 8 |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 11 Jul 2022 | 26.5 | 34.5 | 6.5 | 14 | 2 | 6.5 | – | 5 | 5 |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 18 May 2022 | 23.5 | 37 | 5 | 13 | 2 | 6 | – | 8 | 5.5 |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 30 Mar 2022 | 24 | 39 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 7 | – | 8 | 7 |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 10 Nov 2021 | 20 | 41 | 8 | 9.5 | 1.5 | 8 | – | 7.5 | 4.5 |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 7 Mar 2021 | 28 | 33 | 10 | 10 | 2.5 | 5 | – | 8 | 3.5 |