Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 13 December 2023 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 11 Dec 2023
- Respondents
- 1,237
- Method
- Online
- CDU27.0%+2.0
- SPD26.0%-3.0
- AfD20.0%+4.0
- Grüne8.5%-2.5
- Freie Wähler7.5%+1.0
- FDP3.5%-1.5
- Linke1.5%-0.5
- Others6.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 22 Mar 2023.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 26.0%. 1,237 people were surveyed from 2 to 11 Dec 2023, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 22 Mar 2023, AfD gains 4.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points, Grüne loses 2.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 4.0 points lower and SPD 4.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Dec 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -4.0average 31.0
- SPD +4.0average 22.0
- Grüne -3.5average 12.0
- AfD +3.0average 17.0
- Freie Wähler +2.5average 5.0
- FDP -1.5average 5.0
- Linke -0.5average 2.0
Seat projection from this poll
101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU31
- SPD29
- AfD23
- Grüne10
- Freie Wähler8
- CDU + SPD60 of 101
- CDU + AfD54 of 101
- SPD + AfD52 of 101
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.