Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 20 June 2025 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 19 Jun 2025
- Respondents
- 1,400
- Method
- Online
- CDU28.0%+1.0
- SPD24.5%-1.5
- AfD18.0%-2.0
- Grüne10.5%+2.0
- Linke5.5%+4.0
- Freie Wähler4.0%-3.5
- BSW3.0%
- FDP2.0%-1.5
- Others4.5%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 13 Dec 2023.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 24.5%. 1,400 people were surveyed from 6 to 19 Jun 2025, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 13 Dec 2023, Linke gains 4.0 points, Freie Wähler loses 3.5 points, AfD loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 2.5 points higher and BSW 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Jun 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.5average 22.0
- BSW -2.0average 5.0
- Linke -1.5average 7.0
- CDU -1.0average 29.0
- Grüne +0.5average 10.0
- Freie Wähler +0.5average 3.5
- FDP -0.5average 2.5
- AfD ±0average 18.0
Seat projection from this poll
101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU33
- SPD29
- AfD21
- Grüne12
- Linke6
- CDU + SPD62 of 101
- CDU + AfD54 of 101
- SPD + AfD + Grüne62 of 101
- SPD + AfD + Linke56 of 101
- CDU + Grüne + Linke51 of 101
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.