Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 22 March 2023 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 21 Mar 2023
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- SPD29.0%+3.0
- CDU25.0%-0.5
- AfD16.0%+1.0
- Grüne11.0%+1.0
- Freie Wähler6.5%±0
- FDP5.0%-2.0
- Linke2.0%±0
- Others5.5%-2.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 17 Oct 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU on 25.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 14 to 21 Mar 2023, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 17 Oct 2022, SPD gains 3.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD 4.0 points higher and CDU 3.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Mar 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +4.0average 12.0
- CDU -3.5average 28.5
- Grüne -3.0average 14.0
- Freie Wähler +1.5average 5.0
- SPD +1.0average 28.0
- FDP ±0average 5.0
- Linke ±0average 2.0
Seat projection from this poll
101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD32
- CDU27
- AfD18
- Grüne12
- Freie Wähler7
- FDP5
- SPD + CDU59 of 101
- SPD + AfD + Grüne62 of 101
- SPD + AfD + Freie Wähler57 of 101
- CDU + AfD + Grüne57 of 101
- SPD + AfD + FDP55 of 101
- CDU + AfD + Freie Wähler52 of 101
- SPD + Grüne + Freie Wähler51 of 101
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.