Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 17 October 2022 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 17 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 1,023
- Method
- Online
- SPD26.0%-8.5
- CDU25.5%-1.0
- AfD15.0%+8.5
- Grüne10.0%-4.0
- FDP7.0%+2.0
- Freie Wähler6.5%±0
- Linke2.0%±0
- Others8.0%+3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 11 Jul 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU on 25.5%. 1,023 people were surveyed from 14 to 17 Oct 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 11 Jul 2022, SPD loses 8.5 points, AfD gains 8.5 points, Grüne loses 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne 4.0 points lower and AfD 3.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -4.0average 14.0
- AfD +3.0average 12.0
- Freie Wähler +2.5average 4.0
- CDU -1.5average 27.0
- SPD -1.0average 27.0
- FDP -1.0average 8.0
Seat projection from this poll
101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD29
- CDU29
- AfD17
- Grüne11
- FDP8
- Freie Wähler7
- SPD + CDU58 of 101
- SPD + AfD + Grüne57 of 101
- CDU + AfD + Grüne57 of 101
- SPD + AfD + FDP54 of 101
- CDU + AfD + FDP54 of 101
- SPD + AfD + Freie Wähler53 of 101
- CDU + AfD + Freie Wähler53 of 101
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.