Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 11 July 2022 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 10 Jul 2022
- Respondents
- 1,209
- Method
- Online
- SPD34.5%-2.5
- CDU26.5%+3.0
- Grüne14.0%+1.0
- AfD6.5%+1.5
- Freie Wähler6.5%+0.5
- FDP5.0%-3.0
- Linke2.0%±0
- Others5.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 18 May 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 34.5%, followed by CDU on 26.5%. 1,209 people were surveyed from 2 to 10 Jul 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 18 May 2022, CDU gains 3.0 points, FDP loses 3.0 points, SPD loses 2.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has FDP 4.0 points lower and Grüne 3.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -4.0average 9.0
- Grüne +3.0average 11.0
- Freie Wähler +1.5average 5.0
- SPD +0.5average 34.0
- CDU +0.5average 26.0
- AfD -0.5average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD38
- CDU29
- Grüne15
- AfD7
- Freie Wähler7
- FDP5
- SPD + CDU67 of 101
- SPD + Grüne53 of 101
- SPD + AfD + Freie Wähler52 of 101
- CDU + Grüne + AfD51 of 101
- CDU + Grüne + Freie Wähler51 of 101
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.