Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 18 May 2022 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 18 May 2022
- Respondents
- 1,042
- Method
- Online
- SPD37.0%-2.0
- CDU23.5%-0.5
- Grüne13.0%+6.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Freie Wähler6.0%-1.0
- AfD5.0%-1.0
- Linke2.0%±0
- Others5.5%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 30 Mar 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 37.0%, followed by CDU on 23.5%. 1,042 people were surveyed from 11 to 18 May 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 30 Mar 2022, Grüne gains 6.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, Freie Wähler loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 3.0 points higher and CDU 2.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 18 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +3.0average 34.0
- CDU -2.5average 26.0
- Grüne +2.0average 11.0
- AfD -2.0average 7.0
- FDP -1.0average 9.0
- Freie Wähler +1.0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD40
- CDU26
- Grüne14
- FDP9
- Freie Wähler7
- AfD5
- SPD + CDU66 of 101
- SPD + Grüne54 of 101
- SPD + FDP + Freie Wähler56 of 101
- SPD + FDP + AfD54 of 101
- SPD + Freie Wähler + AfD52 of 101
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.