Single poll

Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 30 March 2022 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election

Commissioned by
Institut Wahlkreisprognose
Fieldwork period
21 to 28 Mar 2022
Respondents
1,002
Method
Online
  • SPD39.0%-2.0
  • CDU24.0%+4.0
  • FDP8.0%+0.5
  • Grüne7.0%-2.5
  • Freie Wähler7.0%-1.0
  • AfD6.0%-2.0
  • Linke2.0%+0.5
  • Others7.0%+2.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 10 Nov 2021.

In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 39.0%, followed by CDU on 24.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 21 to 28 Mar 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.

Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 10 Nov 2021, CDU gains 4.0 points, Grüne loses 2.5 points, SPD loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 5.0 points higher and Grüne 4.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +5.0average 34.0
  • Grüne -4.0average 11.0
  • CDU -2.0average 26.0
  • Freie Wähler +2.0average 5.0
  • FDP -1.0average 9.0
  • AfD -1.0average 7.0
  • Linke -1.0average 3.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 43 seatsCDU: 26 seatsFDP: 9 seatsGrüne: 8 seatsFreie Wähler: 8 seatsAfD: 7 seatsMajority from 51101of 101 seats
  • SPD43
  • CDU26
  • FDP9
  • Grüne8
  • Freie Wähler8
  • AfD7
  • SPD + CDU69 of 101
  • SPD + FDP52 of 101
  • SPD + Grüne51 of 101
  • SPD + Freie Wähler51 of 101
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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