Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 10 November 2021 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 9 Nov 2021
- Respondents
- 1,100
- Method
- Online
- SPD41.0%+8.0
- CDU20.0%-8.0
- Grüne9.5%-0.5
- AfD8.0%-2.0
- Freie Wähler8.0%+3.0
- FDP7.5%-0.5
- Linke1.5%-1.0
- Others4.5%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 7 Mar 2021.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 41.0%, followed by CDU on 20.0%. 1,100 people were surveyed from 1 to 9 Nov 2021, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 7 Mar 2021, SPD gains 8.0 points, CDU loses 8.0 points, Freie Wähler gains 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 3.0 points lower and Freie Wähler 3.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Nov 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -3.0average 23.0
- Freie Wähler +3.0average 5.0
- FDP +1.5average 6.0
- Linke -1.5average 3.0
- SPD +1.0average 40.0
- Grüne +0.5average 9.0
- AfD ±0average 8.0
Seat projection from this poll
101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD44
- CDU21
- Grüne10
- AfD9
- Freie Wähler9
- FDP8
- SPD + CDU65 of 101
- SPD + Grüne54 of 101
- SPD + AfD53 of 101
- SPD + Freie Wähler53 of 101
- SPD + FDP52 of 101
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.