Single poll

Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 7 March 2021 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election

Commissioned by
Institut Wahlkreisprognose
Fieldwork period
1 to 6 Mar 2021
Respondents
1,174
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD33.0%
  • CDU28.0%
  • Grüne10.0%
  • AfD10.0%
  • FDP8.0%
  • Freie Wähler5.0%
  • Linke2.5%
  • Others3.5%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 33.0%, followed by CDU on 28.0%. 1,174 people were surveyed from 1 to 6 Mar 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 2.0 points lower and SPD 1.7 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -2.0average 30.0
  • SPD +1.7average 31.3
  • Grüne -1.7average 11.7
  • AfD +1.0average 9.0
  • Freie Wähler +1.0average 4.0
  • FDP +0.7average 7.3
  • Linke -0.5average 3.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 35 seatsCDU: 30 seatsGrüne: 11 seatsAfD: 11 seatsFDP: 9 seatsFreie Wähler: 5 seatsMajority from 51101of 101 seats
  • SPD35
  • CDU30
  • Grüne11
  • AfD11
  • FDP9
  • Freie Wähler5
  • SPD + CDU65 of 101
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD57 of 101
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP55 of 101
  • SPD + AfD + FDP55 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD52 of 101
  • SPD + Grüne + Freie Wähler51 of 101
  • SPD + AfD + Freie Wähler51 of 101
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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