Pollster and election
Institut Wahlkreisprognose on the Bremen state election
12 polls since 6 March 2022, the latest from 13 May 2023 for Institut Wahlkreisprognose. Against the current average of all pollsters, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD +8.0 and BD +7.0.
- SPD29.0%-3.0
- CDU25.5%-0.5
- Grüne13.0%-2.5
- Linke11.0%+3.0
- BD10.0%+2.5
- FDP5.5%-0.5
- Others6.0%+1.0
29.0%
-3.0
SPD
25.5%
-0.5
CDU
13.0%
-2.5
Grüne
11.0%
+3.0
Linke
10.0%
+2.5
BD
5.5%
-0.5
FDP
6.0%
+1.0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 3 May 2023.
Trend
All Institut Wahlkreisprognose figures for the Bremen state election
Accuracy
Institut Wahlkreisprognose before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 14 May 2023 (poll 13 May 2023)0.6 ptsbiggest miss Grüne +1.1
Archive
All 12 polls
| Pollster | Published | SPD | CDU | Grüne | Linke | BD | FDP | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 13 May 2023 | 29 | 25.5 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 5.5 | 6 |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 3 May 2023 | 32 | 26 | 15.5 | 8 | 7.5 | 6 | 5 |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 19 Feb 2023 | 27.5 | 21.5 | 19.5 | 9 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 5.5 |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 23 Dec 2022 | 29 | 20 | 20 | 10 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 1 Dec 2022 | 28 | 22 | 19.5 | 9.5 | 2 | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 22 Oct 2022 | 26 | 21 | 21 | 6.5 | 4 | 5 | 5.5 |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 27 Sep 2022 | 28 | 23 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 5.5 | 4 |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 29 Aug 2022 | 30.5 | 24.5 | 18.5 | 8.5 | 2 | 5 | 3.5 |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 29 Jul 2022 | 30 | 24.5 | 21 | 8.5 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 22 Jun 2022 | 32 | 23.5 | 19 | 9 | 1.5 | 5 | 4.5 |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 27 May 2022 | 34.5 | 20 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 6 Mar 2022 | 31 | 18 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 4 |