Single poll

Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 27 September 2022 for the Bremen state election

Commissioned by
Institut Wahlkreisprognose
Fieldwork period
18 to 26 Sep 2022
Respondents
1,010
Method
Online
  • SPD28.0%-2.5
  • CDU23.0%-1.5
  • Grüne18.0%-0.5
  • AfD9.5%+2.0
  • Linke9.0%+0.5
  • FDP5.5%+0.5
  • BD3.0%+1.0
  • Others4.0%+0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 29 Aug 2022.

In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU on 23.0%. 1,010 people were surveyed from 18 to 26 Sep 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.

Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 29 Aug 2022, SPD loses 2.5 points, AfD gains 2.0 points, CDU loses 1.5 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD 3.5 points higher and Grüne 3.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +3.5average 6.0
  • Grüne -3.0average 21.0
  • SPD -2.0average 30.0
  • CDU +1.0average 22.0
  • Linke +1.0average 8.0
  • FDP -0.5average 6.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

87 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold applied separately in Bremen and Bremerhaven.

SPD: 26 seatsCDU: 22 seatsGrüne: 17 seatsAfD: 9 seatsLinke: 8 seatsFDP: 5 seatsMajority from 4487of 87 seats
  • SPD26
  • CDU22
  • Grüne17
  • AfD9
  • Linke8
  • FDP5
  • SPD + CDU48 of 87
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD52 of 87
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke51 of 87
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP48 of 87
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD48 of 87
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke47 of 87
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP44 of 87
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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