Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 3 May 2023 for the Bremen state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Apr 2023 to 3 May 2023
- Respondents
- 727
- Method
- Online
- SPD32.0%+4.5
- CDU26.0%+4.5
- Grüne15.5%-4.0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- BD7.5%+5.0
- FDP6.0%+1.5
- Others5.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 19 Feb 2023.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 32.0%, followed by CDU on 26.0%. 727 people were surveyed from 29 Apr 2023 to 3 May 2023, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 19 Feb 2023, BD gains 5.0 points, SPD gains 4.5 points, CDU gains 4.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 3.0 points lower and SPD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 3 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -3.0average 29.0
- SPD +1.5average 30.5
- Linke +1.5average 6.5
- BD +1.0average 6.5
- Grüne -0.5average 16.0
- FDP -0.5average 6.5
Seat projection from this poll
87 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold applied separately in Bremen and Bremerhaven.
- SPD29
- CDU24
- Grüne14
- Linke7
- BD7
- FDP6
- SPD + CDU53 of 87
- SPD + Grüne + Linke50 of 87
- SPD + Grüne + BD50 of 87
- SPD + Grüne + FDP49 of 87
- CDU + Grüne + Linke45 of 87
- CDU + Grüne + BD45 of 87
- CDU + Grüne + FDP44 of 87
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.