Single poll

Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 19 February 2023 for the Bremen state election

Commissioned by
Institut Wahlkreisprognose
Fieldwork period
13 to 17 Feb 2023
Respondents
832
Method
Online
  • SPD27.5%-1.5
  • CDU21.5%+1.5
  • Grüne19.5%-0.5
  • AfD10.0%+0.5
  • Linke9.0%-1.0
  • FDP4.5%±0
  • BD2.5%±0
  • Others5.5%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 23 Dec 2022.

In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 27.5%, followed by CDU on 21.5%. 832 people were surveyed from 13 to 17 Feb 2023, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.

Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 23 Dec 2022, SPD loses 1.5 points, CDU gains 1.5 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD 4.0 points higher and SPD 2.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +4.0average 6.0
  • SPD -2.5average 30.0
  • Grüne -1.5average 21.0
  • FDP -1.5average 6.0
  • Linke +1.0average 8.0
  • CDU -0.5average 22.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

87 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold applied separately in Bremen and Bremerhaven.

SPD: 28 seatsCDU: 21 seatsGrüne: 19 seatsAfD: 10 seatsLinke: 9 seatsMajority from 4487of 87 seats
  • SPD28
  • CDU21
  • Grüne19
  • AfD10
  • Linke9
  • SPD + CDU49 of 87
  • SPD + Grüne47 of 87
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD50 of 87
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke49 of 87
  • SPD + AfD + Linke47 of 87
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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