Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 23 December 2022 for the Bremen state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 23 Dec 2022
- Respondents
- 967
- Method
- Online
- SPD29.0%+1.0
- Grüne20.0%+0.5
- CDU20.0%-2.0
- Linke10.0%+0.5
- AfD9.5%-0.5
- FDP4.5%±0
- BD2.5%+0.5
- Others4.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 1 Dec 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 967 people were surveyed from 19 to 23 Dec 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 1 Dec 2022, CDU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD 3.5 points higher and CDU 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Dec 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +3.5average 6.0
- CDU -2.0average 22.0
- Linke +2.0average 8.0
- FDP -1.5average 6.0
- SPD -1.0average 30.0
- Grüne -1.0average 21.0
Seat projection from this poll
87 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold applied separately in Bremen and Bremerhaven.
- SPD28
- Grüne20
- CDU20
- Linke10
- AfD9
- SPD + Grüne48 of 87
- SPD + CDU48 of 87
- Grüne + CDU + Linke50 of 87
- Grüne + CDU + AfD49 of 87
- SPD + Linke + AfD47 of 87
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.