Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 1 December 2022 for the Bremen state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Nov 2022 to 1 Dec 2022
- Respondents
- 1,200
- Method
- Online
- SPD28.0%+2.0
- CDU22.0%+1.0
- Grüne19.5%-1.5
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- Linke9.5%+3.0
- FDP4.5%-0.5
- BD2.0%-2.0
- Others4.5%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 22 Oct 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU on 22.0%. 1,200 people were surveyed from 28 Nov 2022 to 1 Dec 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 22 Oct 2022, Linke gains 3.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, BD loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD 4.0 points higher and SPD 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Dec 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +4.0average 6.0
- SPD -2.0average 30.0
- Grüne -1.5average 21.0
- Linke +1.5average 8.0
- FDP -1.5average 6.0
- CDU ±0average 22.0
Seat projection from this poll
87 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold applied separately in Bremen and Bremerhaven.
- SPD27
- CDU22
- Grüne19
- AfD10
- Linke9
- SPD + CDU49 of 87
- SPD + Grüne46 of 87
- CDU + Grüne + AfD51 of 87
- CDU + Grüne + Linke50 of 87
- SPD + AfD + Linke46 of 87
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.