Single poll

Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 29 July 2022 for the Bremen state election

Commissioned by
Institut Wahlkreisprognose
Fieldwork period
19 to 28 Jul 2022
Respondents
1,009
Method
Online
  • SPD30.0%-2.0
  • CDU24.5%+1.0
  • Grüne21.0%+2.0
  • Linke8.5%-0.5
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • AfD5.0%-0.5
  • BD2.0%+0.5
  • Others4.0%-0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 22 Jun 2022.

In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 30.0%, followed by CDU on 24.5%. 1,009 people were surveyed from 19 to 28 Jul 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.

Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 22 Jun 2022, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 2.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +2.5average 22.0
  • FDP -1.0average 6.0
  • AfD -1.0average 6.0
  • Linke +0.5average 8.0
  • SPD ±0average 30.0
  • Grüne ±0average 21.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

87 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold applied separately in Bremen and Bremerhaven.

SPD: 28 seatsCDU: 22 seatsGrüne: 19 seatsLinke: 8 seatsFDP: 5 seatsAfD: 5 seatsMajority from 4487of 87 seats
  • SPD28
  • CDU22
  • Grüne19
  • Linke8
  • FDP5
  • AfD5
  • SPD + CDU50 of 87
  • SPD + Grüne47 of 87
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke49 of 87
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP46 of 87
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD46 of 87
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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