Pollster and election
Institut Wahlkreisprognose on the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
7 polls since 22 July 2021, the latest from 28 October 2023 for Institut Wahlkreisprognose. Against the current average of all pollsters, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD -12.6 and CDU +10.3.
- AfD35.0%+11.0
- SPD20.0%-7.0
- CDU17.5%+2.5
- Linke8.0%±0
- Grüne6.5%-6.5
- FDP4.0%-1.0
- Others9.0%+1.0
35.0%
+11.0
AfD
20.0%
-7.0
SPD
17.5%
+2.5
CDU
8.0%
±0
Linke
6.5%
-6.5
Grüne
4.0%
-1.0
FDP
9.0%
+1.0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 15 Aug 2022.
Trend
All Institut Wahlkreisprognose figures for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
Accuracy
Institut Wahlkreisprognose before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 26 Sep 2021 (poll 24 Sep 2021)0.4 ptsbiggest miss FDP -0.8
Archive
All 7 polls
| Pollster | Published | AfD | SPD | CDU | Linke | Grüne | FDP | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 28 Oct 2023 | 35 | 20 | 17.5 | 8 | 6.5 | 4 | 9 |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 15 Aug 2022 | 24 | 27 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 8 |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 20 Jun 2022 | 19 | 33 | 17.5 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 8.5 |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 11 Feb 2022 | 18 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 8 |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 24 Sep 2021 | 16 | 40 | 13.5 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 9.5 |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 10 Sep 2021 | 18 | 39 | 13 | 11 | 5.5 | 6 | 7.5 |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 22 Jul 2021 | 20 | 30 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 7 |