Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 15 August 2022 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 14 Aug 2022
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- SPD27.0%-6.0
- AfD24.0%+5.0
- CDU15.0%-2.5
- Grüne13.0%+2.0
- Linke8.0%+1.0
- FDP5.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 20 Jun 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 4 to 14 Aug 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 20 Jun 2022, SPD loses 6.0 points, AfD gains 5.0 points, CDU loses 2.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD 6.3 points higher and SPD 6.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +6.3average 17.7
- SPD -6.0average 33.0
- Grüne +5.0average 8.0
- Linke -2.7average 10.7
- CDU -2.0average 17.0
- FDP ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD21
- AfD18
- CDU12
- Grüne10
- Linke6
- FDP4
- SPD + AfD39 of 71
- SPD + CDU + Grüne43 of 71
- AfD + CDU + Grüne40 of 71
- SPD + CDU + Linke39 of 71
- SPD + CDU + FDP37 of 71
- SPD + Grüne + Linke37 of 71
- AfD + CDU + Linke36 of 71
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.