Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 20 June 2022 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 20 Jun 2022
- Respondents
- 1,041
- Method
- Online
- SPD33.0%+3.0
- AfD19.0%+1.0
- CDU17.5%-2.5
- Grüne11.0%+1.0
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- FDP4.0%-2.0
- Others8.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 11 Feb 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 33.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,041 people were surveyed from 13 to 20 Jun 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 11 Feb 2022, SPD gains 3.0 points, CDU loses 2.5 points, FDP loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Linke 3.7 points lower and Grüne 3.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Jun 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -3.7average 10.7
- Grüne +3.0average 8.0
- AfD +1.3average 17.7
- FDP -1.0average 5.0
- CDU +0.5average 17.0
- SPD ±0average 33.0
Seat projection from this poll
71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD27
- AfD15
- CDU14
- Grüne9
- Linke6
- SPD + AfD42 of 71
- SPD + CDU41 of 71
- SPD + Grüne36 of 71
- AfD + CDU + Grüne38 of 71
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.