Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 11 February 2022 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 10 Feb 2022
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- SPD30.0%-10.0
- CDU20.0%+6.5
- AfD18.0%+2.0
- Grüne10.0%+4.0
- Linke8.0%-2.0
- FDP6.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 24 Sep 2021.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 30.0%, followed by CDU on 20.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 1 to 10 Feb 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 24 Sep 2021, SPD loses 10.0 points, CDU gains 6.5 points, Grüne gains 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 9.5 points lower and CDU 6.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -9.5average 39.5
- CDU +6.2average 13.8
- Grüne +3.7average 6.3
- Linke -2.8average 10.8
- AfD +1.5average 16.5
- FDP +0.1average 5.9
Seat projection from this poll
71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD23
- CDU15
- AfD14
- Grüne8
- Linke6
- FDP5
- SPD + CDU38 of 71
- SPD + AfD37 of 71
- SPD + Grüne + Linke37 of 71
- CDU + AfD + Grüne37 of 71
- SPD + Grüne + FDP36 of 71
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.