Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 24 September 2021 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 23 Sep 2021
- Respondents
- 1,004
- Method
- Online
- SPD40.0%+1.0
- AfD16.0%-2.0
- CDU13.5%+0.5
- Linke10.0%-1.0
- Grüne6.0%+0.5
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- Others9.5%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 10 Sep 2021.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 40.0%, followed by AfD on 16.0%. 1,004 people were surveyed from 18 to 23 Sep 2021, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 10 Sep 2021, AfD loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -0.9average 5.9
- Linke -0.8average 10.8
- SPD +0.5average 39.5
- AfD -0.5average 16.5
- CDU -0.3average 13.8
- Grüne -0.3average 6.3
Seat projection from this poll
71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD31
- AfD12
- CDU11
- Linke8
- Grüne5
- FDP4
- SPD + AfD43 of 71
- SPD + CDU42 of 71
- SPD + Linke39 of 71
- SPD + Grüne36 of 71
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.