Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 10 September 2021 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 9 Sep 2021
- Respondents
- 994
- Method
- Online
- SPD39.0%+9.0
- AfD18.0%-2.0
- CDU13.0%-11.0
- Linke11.0%+2.0
- FDP6.0%+1.0
- Grüne5.5%+0.5
- Others7.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 22 Jul 2021.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 39.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 994 people were surveyed from 4 to 9 Sep 2021, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 22 Jul 2021, CDU loses 11.0 points, SPD gains 9.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 5.5 points higher and CDU 3.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +5.5average 33.5
- CDU -3.0average 16.0
- Grüne -1.5average 7.0
- AfD +1.0average 17.0
- Linke -1.0average 12.0
- FDP -1.0average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD30
- AfD14
- CDU10
- Linke8
- FDP5
- Grüne4
- SPD + AfD44 of 71
- SPD + CDU40 of 71
- SPD + Linke38 of 71
- SPD + FDP + Grüne39 of 71
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.