Single poll
Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 22 July 2021 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 21 Jul 2021
- Respondents
- 2,000
- Method
- Online
- SPD30.0%
- CDU24.0%
- AfD20.0%
- Linke9.0%
- FDP5.0%
- Grüne5.0%
- Others7.0%
30.0%
SPD
24.0%
CDU
20.0%
AfD
9.0%
Linke
5.0%
FDP
5.0%
Grüne
7.0%
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 30.0%, followed by CDU on 24.0%. 2,000 people were surveyed from 14 to 21 Jul 2021, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 3.5 points higher and Linke 3.5 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +3.5average 26.5
- Linke -3.5average 12.5
- CDU +2.5average 21.5
- AfD +2.5average 17.5
- Grüne -2.5average 7.5
- FDP -1.5average 6.5
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD23
- CDU18
- AfD15
- Linke7
- FDP4
- Grüne4
- SPD + CDU41 of 71
- SPD + AfD38 of 71
- CDU + AfD + Linke40 of 71
- CDU + AfD + FDP37 of 71
- CDU + AfD + Grüne37 of 71
More
More polls
Institut Wahlkreisprognose, 10 Sep 2021 →Average of all pollsters: Mecklenburg-Western PomeraniaChronicle 2021
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.