Pollster and election
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen on the Hesse state election
10 polls since 22 March 2018, the latest from 5 October 2023 for ZDF-Politbarometer. Against the current average of all pollsters, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has AfD -5.0 and Grüne +3.5.
- CDU32.0%±0
- SPD17.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%±0
- AfD16.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Freie Wähler4.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
32.0%
±0
CDU
17.0%
±0
SPD
17.0%
±0
Grüne
16.0%
±0
AfD
5.0%
±0
FDP
4.0%
±0
Freie Wähler
3.0%
±0
Linke
6.0%
±0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 29 Sep 2023.
Trend
All Forschungsgruppe Wahlen figures for the Hesse state election
Accuracy
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 8 Oct 2023 (poll 5 Oct 2023)1.5 ptsbiggest miss CDU -2.6
- Election 28 Oct 2018 (poll 25 Oct 2018)0.8 ptsbiggest miss Linke +1.7
Archive
All 10 polls
| Pollster | Published | CDU | SPD | Grüne | AfD | FDP | Freie Wähler | Linke | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5 Oct 2023 | 32 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 29 Sep 2023 | 32 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 8 Sep 2023 | 30 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 6 | – | 3 | 7 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 25 Aug 2023 | 31 | 20 | 18 | 15 | 6 | – | 3 | 7 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 25 Oct 2018 | 28 | 20 | 20 | 12 | 8 | – | 8 | 4 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 18 Oct 2018 | 26 | 20 | 22 | 12 | 8 | – | 8 | 4 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 3 Oct 2018 | 29 | 23 | 18 | 13 | 6 | – | 8 | 3 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 21 Sep 2018 | 32 | 25 | 15 | 11 | 6 | – | 8 | 3 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12 Jun 2018 | 31 | 25 | 13 | 11 | 8 | – | 8 | 4 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 22 Mar 2018 | 31 | 26 | 13 | 10 | 7 | – | 8 | 5 |