Pollster and election
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen on the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
4 polls since 17 September 2021, the latest from 17 September 2026 for ZDF-Politbarometer. Against the current average of all pollsters, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD +4.4 and Linke -1.2.
- SPD37.0%+3.0
- AfD36.0%-1.0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- CDU6.0%-1.0
- Grüne5.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- Others3.0%±0
37.0%
+3.0
SPD
36.0%
-1.0
AfD
9.0%
-1.0
Linke
6.0%
-1.0
CDU
5.0%
±0
Grüne
4.0%
±0
BSW
3.0%
±0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 11 Sep 2026.
Trend
All Forschungsgruppe Wahlen figures for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
Accuracy
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 20 Sep 2026 (poll 17 Sep 2026)1.5 ptsbiggest miss Linke +2.5
- Election 26 Sep 2021 (poll 23 Sep 2021)0.7 ptsbiggest miss Linke +1.1
Archive
All 4 polls
| Pollster | Published | SPD | AfD | Linke | CDU | Grüne | BSW | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17 Sep 2026 | 37 | 36 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 11 Sep 2026 | 34 | 37 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23 Sep 2021 | 39 | 16 | 11 | 14 | 7 | – | 7.5 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17 Sep 2021 | 38 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 6 | – | 7 |