Pollster and election
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen on the Saarland state election
4 polls since 17 March 2017, the latest from 24 March 2022 for ZDF-Politbarometer. Against the current average of all pollsters, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has AfD -16.5 and SPD +14.0.
- SPD41.0%+2.0
- CDU28.0%-2.0
- AfD6.5%+0.5
- Grüne5.5%-0.5
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others10.0%±0
41.0%
+2.0
SPD
28.0%
-2.0
CDU
6.5%
+0.5
AfD
5.5%
-0.5
Grüne
5.0%
±0
FDP
4.0%
±0
Linke
10.0%
±0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 18 Mar 2022.
Trend
All Forschungsgruppe Wahlen figures for the Saarland state election
Accuracy
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 27 Mar 2022 (poll 24 Mar 2022)1.0 ptsbiggest miss SPD -2.5
- Election 26 Mar 2017 (poll 23 Mar 2017)1.3 ptsbiggest miss CDU -3.7
Archive
All 4 polls
| Pollster | Published | SPD | CDU | AfD | Grüne | FDP | Linke | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 24 Mar 2022 | 41 | 28 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 18 Mar 2022 | 39 | 30 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23 Mar 2017 | 32 | 37 | 6 | 4.5 | 4 | 12.5 | 4 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17 Mar 2017 | 32 | 37 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 4 |