Pollster and election
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen on the Lower Saxony state election
4 polls since 6 October 2017, the latest from 6 October 2022 for ZDF-Politbarometer. Against the current average of all pollsters, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has AfD -11.0 and SPD +7.0.
- SPD33.0%+1.0
- CDU28.0%+1.0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke3.5%-0.5
- Others4.5%-0.5
33.0%
+1.0
SPD
28.0%
+1.0
CDU
16.0%
±0
Grüne
10.0%
-1.0
AfD
5.0%
±0
FDP
3.5%
-0.5
Linke
4.5%
-0.5
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 30 Sep 2022.
Trend
All Forschungsgruppe Wahlen figures for the Lower Saxony state election
Accuracy
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 9 Oct 2022 (poll 6 Oct 2022)0.7 ptsbiggest miss Grüne +1.5
- Election 15 Oct 2017 (poll 12 Oct 2017)1.0 ptsbiggest miss SPD -2.4
Archive
All 4 polls
| Pollster | Published | SPD | CDU | Grüne | AfD | FDP | Linke | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 6 Oct 2022 | 33 | 28 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 30 Sep 2022 | 32 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12 Oct 2017 | 34.5 | 33 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2.5 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 6 Oct 2017 | 33 | 33 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 3 |