Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 30 September 2022 for the Lower Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 29 Sep 2022
- Respondents
- 1,023
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD32.0%-2.5
- CDU27.0%-6.0
- Grüne16.0%+7.0
- AfD11.0%+4.0
- FDP5.0%-4.0
- Linke4.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%+2.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 12 Oct 2017.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD ahead on 32.0%, followed by CDU on 27.0%. 1,023 people were surveyed from 26 to 29 Sep 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 12 Oct 2017, Grüne gains 7.0 points, CDU loses 6.0 points, AfD gains 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has AfD 2.8 points higher and Grüne 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.8average 8.2
- Grüne -1.7average 17.7
- CDU -1.3average 28.3
- Linke +0.7average 3.3
- FDP -0.6average 5.6
- SPD ±0average 32.0
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD48
- CDU40
- Grüne24
- AfD16
- FDP7
- SPD + CDU88 of 135
- SPD + Grüne72 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + AfD80 of 135
- SPD + AfD + FDP71 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + FDP71 of 135
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.