Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 6 October 2022 for the Lower Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 6 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 1,046
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD33.0%+1.0
- CDU28.0%+1.0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke3.5%-0.5
- Others4.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 30 Sep 2022.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD ahead on 33.0%, followed by CDU on 28.0%. 1,046 people were surveyed from 5 to 6 Oct 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 30 Sep 2022, SPD gains 1.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -0.7average 16.7
- SPD +0.6average 32.4
- CDU +0.2average 27.8
- Linke +0.2average 3.3
- FDP +0.1average 4.9
- AfD ±0average 10.0
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD48
- CDU41
- Grüne24
- AfD15
- FDP7
- SPD + CDU89 of 135
- SPD + Grüne72 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + AfD80 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + FDP72 of 135
- SPD + AfD + FDP70 of 135
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.