Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 12 October 2017 for the Lower Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 12 Oct 2017
- Respondents
- 1,001
- Method
- Unbekannt
- SPD34.5%+1.5
- CDU33.0%±0
- FDP9.0%-1.0
- Grüne9.0%±0
- AfD7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others2.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 6 Oct 2017.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD ahead on 34.5%, followed by CDU on 33.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 11 to 12 Oct 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 6 Oct 2017, SPD gains 1.5 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD 1.8 points higher and CDU 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Oct 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.8average 32.7
- CDU -1.5average 34.5
- AfD -0.8average 7.8
- FDP +0.5average 8.5
- Linke +0.3average 4.7
- Grüne -0.1average 9.1
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD48
- CDU46
- FDP12
- Grüne12
- AfD10
- Linke7
- SPD + CDU94 of 135
- SPD + FDP + Grüne72 of 135
- SPD + FDP + AfD70 of 135
- SPD + Grüne + AfD70 of 135
- CDU + FDP + Grüne70 of 135
- CDU + FDP + AfD68 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + AfD68 of 135
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.