Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 6 October 2017 for the Lower Saxony state election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
2 to 5 Oct 2017
Respondents
1,083
Method
Unbekannt
  • SPD33.0%
  • CDU33.0%
  • FDP10.0%
  • Grüne9.0%
  • AfD7.0%
  • Linke5.0%
  • Others3.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD ahead on 33.0%, followed by CDU on 33.0%. 1,083 people were surveyed from 2 to 5 Oct 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU 3.5 points lower and FDP 1.7 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Oct 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -3.5average 36.5
  • FDP +1.7average 8.3
  • SPD +1.5average 31.5
  • AfD -0.8average 7.8
  • Linke +0.3average 4.7
  • Grüne +0.1average 8.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 46 seatsCDU: 46 seatsFDP: 14 seatsGrüne: 12 seatsAfD: 10 seatsLinke: 7 seatsMajority from 68135of 135 seats
  • SPD46
  • CDU46
  • FDP14
  • Grüne12
  • AfD10
  • Linke7
  • SPD + CDU92 of 135
  • SPD + FDP + Grüne72 of 135
  • CDU + FDP + Grüne72 of 135
  • SPD + FDP + AfD70 of 135
  • CDU + FDP + AfD70 of 135
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD68 of 135
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD68 of 135
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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