Pollster and election
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen on the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
5 polls since 10 February 2017, the latest from 12 May 2022 for ZDF-Politbarometer. Against the current average of all pollsters, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD +13.5 and AfD -12.5.
- CDU32.0%+2.0
- SPD29.0%+1.0
- Grüne17.0%-1.0
- AfD7.0%±0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others6.0%-1.0
32.0%
+2.0
CDU
29.0%
+1.0
SPD
17.0%
-1.0
Grüne
7.0%
±0
AfD
6.0%
-1.0
FDP
3.0%
±0
Linke
6.0%
-1.0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 6 May 2022.
Trend
All Forschungsgruppe Wahlen figures for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
Accuracy
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 15 May 2022 (poll 12 May 2022)1.6 ptsbiggest miss CDU -3.7
- Election 14 May 2017 (poll 11 May 2017)0.7 ptsbiggest miss Linke +1.1
Archive
All 5 polls
| Pollster | Published | CDU | SPD | Grüne | AfD | FDP | Linke | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12 May 2022 | 32 | 29 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 6 May 2022 | 30 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 11 May 2017 | 32 | 31 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 13.5 | 6 | 4.5 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5 May 2017 | 32 | 32 | 7.5 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 4.5 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 10 Feb 2017 | 32 | 36 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 3 |