Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 May 2017 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 4 May 2017
- Respondents
- 1,032
- Method
- Unbekannt
- SPD32.0%-4.0
- CDU32.0%±0
- FDP12.0%+4.0
- Grüne7.5%+0.5
- Linke6.0%+1.0
- AfD6.0%-3.0
- Others4.5%+1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 10 Feb 2017.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD ahead on 32.0%, followed by CDU on 32.0%. 1,032 people were surveyed from 2 to 4 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 10 Feb 2017, SPD loses 4.0 points, FDP gains 4.0 points, AfD loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD 3.8 points lower and CDU 3.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -3.8average 35.8
- CDU +3.1average 28.9
- AfD -2.9average 8.9
- FDP +1.8average 10.2
- Grüne +1.3average 6.2
- Linke +0.3average 5.7
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD61
- CDU61
- FDP23
- Grüne14
- Linke11
- AfD11
- SPD + CDU122 of 181
- SPD + FDP + Grüne98 of 181
- CDU + FDP + Grüne98 of 181
- SPD + FDP + Linke95 of 181
- SPD + FDP + AfD95 of 181
- CDU + FDP + Linke95 of 181
- CDU + FDP + AfD95 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.