Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 11 May 2017 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 11 May 2017
- Respondents
- 2,402
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU32.0%±0
- SPD31.0%-1.0
- FDP13.5%+1.5
- Grüne6.5%-1.0
- AfD6.5%+0.5
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others4.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 May 2017.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 31.0%. 2,402 people were surveyed from 8 to 11 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 May 2017, FDP gains 1.5 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD 2.8 points lower and FDP 2.3 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 11 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.8average 33.8
- FDP +2.3average 11.2
- CDU +1.9average 30.1
- AfD -1.4average 7.9
- Linke +0.3average 5.7
- Grüne -0.1average 6.6
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU61
- SPD59
- FDP26
- Grüne12
- AfD12
- Linke11
- CDU + SPD120 of 181
- CDU + FDP + Grüne99 of 181
- CDU + FDP + AfD99 of 181
- CDU + FDP + Linke98 of 181
- SPD + FDP + Grüne97 of 181
- SPD + FDP + AfD97 of 181
- SPD + FDP + Linke96 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.