Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 6 May 2022 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 5 May 2022
- Respondents
- 1,026
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU30.0%-2.0
- SPD28.0%-3.0
- Grüne18.0%+11.5
- FDP7.0%-6.5
- AfD7.0%+0.5
- Linke3.0%-3.0
- Others7.0%+2.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 11 May 2017.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 28.0%. 1,026 people were surveyed from 3 to 5 May 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 11 May 2017, Grüne gains 11.5 points, FDP loses 6.5 points, SPD loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 1.9 points higher and FDP 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 6 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.9average 16.1
- FDP -1.6average 8.6
- SPD -1.3average 29.3
- Linke +0.1average 2.9
- CDU ±0average 30.0
- AfD ±0average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU61
- SPD56
- Grüne36
- FDP14
- AfD14
- CDU + SPD117 of 181
- CDU + Grüne97 of 181
- SPD + Grüne92 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.