Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 12 May 2022 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 12 May 2022
- Respondents
- 2,254
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU32.0%+2.0
- SPD29.0%+1.0
- Grüne17.0%-1.0
- AfD7.0%±0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 6 May 2022.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 29.0%. 2,254 people were surveyed from 9 to 12 May 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 6 May 2022, CDU gains 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has FDP 2.2 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -2.2average 8.2
- CDU +1.4average 30.6
- Grüne +0.5average 16.5
- SPD +0.3average 28.7
- Linke +0.3average 2.7
- AfD ±0average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU63
- SPD58
- Grüne34
- AfD14
- FDP12
- CDU + SPD121 of 181
- CDU + Grüne97 of 181
- SPD + Grüne92 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.