Pollster and election
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen on the Schleswig-Holstein state election
4 polls since 27 April 2017, the latest from 5 May 2022 for ZDF-Politbarometer. Against the current average of all pollsters, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has AfD -10.5 and CDU +8.0.
- CDU38.0%±0
- SPD18.0%-1.0
- Grüne18.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- AfD6.0%±0
- SSW6.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%+1.0
38.0%
±0
CDU
18.0%
-1.0
SPD
18.0%
+1.0
Grüne
8.0%
+1.0
FDP
6.0%
±0
AfD
6.0%
+1.0
SSW
6.0%
+1.0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 29 Apr 2022.
Trend
All Forschungsgruppe Wahlen figures for the Schleswig-Holstein state election
Accuracy
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 8 May 2022 (poll 5 May 2022)1.9 ptsbiggest miss CDU -5.4
- Election 7 May 2017 (poll 4 May 2017)0.6 ptsbiggest miss SPD +1.8
Archive
All 4 polls
| Pollster | Published | CDU | SPD | Grüne | FDP | AfD | SSW | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5 May 2022 | 38 | 18 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 29 Apr 2022 | 38 | 19 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 4 May 2017 | 32 | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2.5 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 27 Apr 2017 | 32 | 30 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 |