Pollster and election
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen on the Baden-Württemberg state election
5 polls since 5 February 2021, the latest from 5 March 2026 for ZDF-Politbarometer. Against the current average of all pollsters, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has AfD -1.5 and CDU +0.7.
- Grüne28.0%+3.0
- CDU28.0%+1.0
- AfD18.0%-1.0
- SPD8.0%-1.0
- FDP5.5%-0.5
- Linke5.5%-0.5
- Others7.0%-1.0
28.0%
+3.0
Grüne
28.0%
+1.0
CDU
18.0%
-1.0
AfD
8.0%
-1.0
SPD
5.5%
-0.5
FDP
5.5%
-0.5
Linke
7.0%
-1.0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 27 Feb 2026.
Trend
All Forschungsgruppe Wahlen figures for the Baden-Württemberg state election
Accuracy
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 8 Mar 2026 (poll 5 Mar 2026)1.6 ptsbiggest miss SPD +2.5
- Election 14 Mar 2021 (poll 11 Mar 2021)0.8 ptsbiggest miss Grüne +1.4
Archive
All 5 polls
| Pollster | Published | Grüne | CDU | AfD | SPD | FDP | Linke | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5 Mar 2026 | 28 | 28 | 18 | 8 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 7 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 27 Feb 2026 | 25 | 27 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 11 Mar 2021 | 34 | 24 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 7 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5 Mar 2021 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 7 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5 Feb 2021 | 34 | 28 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 5 |