Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 11 March 2021 for the Baden-Württemberg state election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
8 to 11 Mar 2021
Respondents
1,867
Method
Telefonisch
  • Grüne34.0%-1.0
  • CDU24.0%±0
  • FDP11.0%+1.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • SPD10.0%±0
  • Linke3.0%±0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 Mar 2021.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne ahead on 34.0%, followed by CDU on 24.0%. 1,867 people were surveyed from 8 to 11 Mar 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 Mar 2021, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.3average 32.7
  • AfD -1.3average 12.3
  • SPD -0.8average 10.8
  • FDP +0.5average 10.5
  • Linke -0.5average 3.5
  • CDU -0.3average 24.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

Grüne: 45 seatsCDU: 32 seatsFDP: 15 seatsAfD: 15 seatsSPD: 13 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • Grüne45
  • CDU32
  • FDP15
  • AfD15
  • SPD13
  • Grüne + CDU77 of 120
  • Grüne + FDP + AfD75 of 120
  • Grüne + FDP + SPD73 of 120
  • Grüne + AfD + SPD73 of 120
  • CDU + FDP + AfD62 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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