Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 March 2021 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 4 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 1,032
- Method
- Telefonisch
- Grüne35.0%+1.0
- CDU24.0%-4.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- SPD10.0%±0
- FDP10.0%+1.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others7.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 Feb 2021.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne ahead on 35.0%, followed by CDU on 24.0%. 1,032 people were surveyed from 1 to 4 Mar 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 Feb 2021, CDU loses 4.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 3.0 points higher and CDU 2.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +3.0average 32.0
- CDU -2.5average 26.5
- Linke -1.0average 4.0
- AfD -0.5average 11.5
- SPD -0.5average 10.5
- FDP ±0average 10.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- Grüne47
- CDU32
- AfD15
- SPD13
- FDP13
- Grüne + CDU79 of 120
- Grüne + AfD62 of 120
- Grüne + SPD + FDP73 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.