Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 February 2021 for the Baden-Württemberg state election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
1 to 4 Feb 2021
Respondents
1,032
Method
Telefonisch
  • Grüne34.0%
  • CDU28.0%
  • AfD11.0%
  • SPD10.0%
  • FDP9.0%
  • Linke3.0%
  • Others5.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne ahead on 34.0%, followed by CDU on 28.0%. 1,032 people were surveyed from 1 to 4 Feb 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 2.0 points higher and SPD 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Feb 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.0average 32.0
  • SPD -1.5average 11.5
  • CDU -0.5average 28.5
  • FDP +0.5average 8.5
  • Linke -0.5average 3.5
  • AfD ±0average 11.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

Grüne: 44 seatsCDU: 37 seatsAfD: 14 seatsSPD: 13 seatsFDP: 12 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • Grüne44
  • CDU37
  • AfD14
  • SPD13
  • FDP12
  • Grüne + CDU81 of 120
  • Grüne + AfD + SPD71 of 120
  • Grüne + AfD + FDP70 of 120
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP69 of 120
  • CDU + AfD + SPD64 of 120
  • CDU + AfD + FDP63 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + FDP62 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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