Pollster and election
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen on the Brandenburg state election
4 polls since 23 August 2019, the latest from 19 September 2024 for ZDF-Politbarometer. Against the current average of all pollsters, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has AfD -7.5 and BSW +7.0.
- AfD28.0%-1.0
- SPD27.0%+1.0
- CDU14.0%-1.0
- BSW13.0%-1.0
- Grüne4.5%-0.5
- Linke4.0%+1.0
- BVB/FW3.5%+0.5
- Others6.0%+1.0
28.0%
-1.0
AfD
27.0%
+1.0
SPD
14.0%
-1.0
CDU
13.0%
-1.0
BSW
4.5%
-0.5
Grüne
4.0%
+1.0
Linke
3.5%
+0.5
BVB/FW
6.0%
+1.0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 13 Sep 2024.
Trend
All Forschungsgruppe Wahlen figures for the Brandenburg state election
Accuracy
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 22 Sep 2024 (poll 19 Sep 2024)1.4 ptsbiggest miss SPD -3.9
- Election 1 Sep 2019 (poll 29 Aug 2019)2.4 ptsbiggest miss SPD -4.2
Archive
All 4 polls
| Pollster | Published | AfD | SPD | CDU | BSW | Grüne | Linke | BVB/FW | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 19 Sep 2024 | 28 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 4.5 | 4 | 3.5 | 6 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 13 Sep 2024 | 29 | 26 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 29 Aug 2019 | 21 | 22 | 16.5 | – | 14.5 | 14 | 4 | 3 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23 Aug 2019 | 20 | 21 | 18 | – | 14 | 14 | 4 | 4 |