Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 29 August 2019 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 29 Aug 2019
- Respondents
- 1,653
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD22.0%+1.0
- AfD21.0%+1.0
- CDU16.5%-1.5
- Grüne14.5%+0.5
- Linke14.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- BVB/FW4.0%±0
- Others3.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 Aug 2019.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD ahead on 22.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,653 people were surveyed from 26 to 29 Aug 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 Aug 2019, CDU loses 1.5 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Aug 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.9average 20.1
- CDU -1.2average 17.7
- Linke -0.9average 14.9
- Grüne +0.3average 14.2
- BVB/FW -0.3average 4.3
- AfD -0.1average 21.1
- FDP ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- SPD21
- AfD20
- CDU15
- Grüne14
- Linke13
- FDP5
- SPD + AfD + CDU56 of 88
- SPD + AfD + Grüne55 of 88
- SPD + AfD + Linke54 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Grüne50 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Linke49 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Grüne49 of 88
- SPD + Grüne + Linke48 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Linke48 of 88
- AfD + Grüne + Linke47 of 88
- SPD + AfD + FDP46 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.