Single poll
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 August 2019 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 22 Aug 2019
- Respondents
- 1,112
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD21.0%
- AfD20.0%
- CDU18.0%
- Grüne14.0%
- Linke14.0%
- FDP5.0%
- BVB/FW4.0%
- Others4.0%
21.0%
SPD
20.0%
AfD
18.0%
CDU
14.0%
Grüne
14.0%
Linke
5.0%
FDP
4.0%
BVB/FW
4.0%
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD ahead on 21.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,112 people were surveyed from 19 to 22 Aug 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD 1.9 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Aug 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.9average 19.1
- Grüne -1.3average 15.3
- Linke -1.0average 15.0
- AfD -0.8average 20.8
- FDP -0.4average 5.4
- BVB/FW +0.3average 3.7
- CDU +0.2average 17.8
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- SPD20
- AfD19
- CDU17
- Grüne14
- Linke13
- FDP5
- SPD + AfD + CDU56 of 88
- SPD + AfD + Grüne53 of 88
- SPD + AfD + Linke52 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Grüne51 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Linke50 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Grüne50 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Linke49 of 88
- SPD + Grüne + Linke47 of 88
- AfD + Grüne + Linke46 of 88
More
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.