Pollster and election
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen on the Rhineland-Palatinate state election
5 polls since 5 February 2021, the latest from 19 March 2026 for ZDF-Politbarometer. Against the current average of all pollsters, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD +8.0 and AfD -5.0.
- CDU29.0%+1.0
- SPD27.0%+1.0
- AfD19.0%±0
- Grüne9.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Freie Wähler4.5%-0.5
- Others6.5%-1.5
29.0%
+1.0
CDU
27.0%
+1.0
SPD
19.0%
±0
AfD
9.0%
±0
Grüne
5.0%
±0
Linke
4.5%
-0.5
Freie Wähler
6.5%
-1.5
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 13 Mar 2026.
Trend
All Forschungsgruppe Wahlen figures for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election
Accuracy
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 22 Mar 2026 (poll 19 Mar 2026)0.9 ptsbiggest miss CDU -2.0
- Election 14 Mar 2021 (poll 11 Mar 2021)1.0 ptsbiggest miss SPD -2.7
Archive
All 5 polls
| Pollster | Published | CDU | SPD | AfD | Grüne | Linke | Freie Wähler | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 19 Mar 2026 | 29 | 27 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 4.5 | 6.5 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 13 Mar 2026 | 28 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 8 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 11 Mar 2021 | 29 | 33 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 4.5 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5 Mar 2021 | 29 | 33 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5 Feb 2021 | 33 | 31 | 7 | 13 | 4 | – | 7 |