Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 19 March 2026 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 19 Mar 2026
- Respondents
- 1,139
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU29.0%+1.0
- SPD27.0%+1.0
- AfD19.0%±0
- Grüne9.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Freie Wähler4.5%-0.5
- Others6.5%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 13 Mar 2026.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 27.0%. 1,139 people were surveyed from 18 to 19 Mar 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 13 Mar 2026, CDU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Mar 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +0.5average 28.5
- SPD -0.5average 27.5
- AfD -0.5average 19.5
- Grüne +0.5average 8.5
- Freie Wähler -0.3average 4.8
- Linke ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU33
- SPD31
- AfD21
- Grüne10
- Linke6
- CDU + SPD64 of 101
- CDU + AfD54 of 101
- SPD + AfD52 of 101
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.